The Cincinnati Reds are 35-29 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 29-37 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Zack Littell is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore. Zack Littell has a 35% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matthew Liberatore has a 17% chance of a QS. If Zack Littell has a quality start the Reds has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 69%. In Matthew Liberatore quality starts the Cardinals win 62%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Zack Littell who averaged 3.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 73% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Matthew Liberatore who averaged 3.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 29-37, 44% -649 | Record at Home | 35-29, 55% 118 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 4-3, 57% 53 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 3-4, 43% -150 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 31-42, 42% -885 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-32, 44% -287 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 18-27, 40% -487 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-18, 54% -336 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Matthew Liberatore Starts | 10-13, 43% -212 | When Zack Littell Starts | 12-13, 48% 12 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-6, 50% 169 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% 44 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-7, 42% -253 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-3, 57% 49 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% 86 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-2, 50% -41 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Matthew Liberatore Starts | 2-3, 40% -13 | When Zack Littell Starts | 2-3, 40% -51 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 35-29, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 21-40, 34% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Liberatore STARTS | 11-11, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Zack Littell STARTS | 9-14, 39% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 35-31, 53% +249 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 37-27, 58% +584 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-6, 50% +73 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-5, 50% +44
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 39-27, 59% +245 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 35-29, 55% -88 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-6, 50% -224 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 4-6, 40% -196
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 23-30, 43% -1000 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 26-23, 53% + 70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250
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