The Baltimore Orioles are 30-30 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 27-34 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Brennan Bernardino. Tomoyuki Sugano has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brennan Bernardino has a 41% chance of a QS. If Tomoyuki Sugano has a quality start the Orioles has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 55%. In Brennan Bernardino quality starts the Red Sox win 73%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 73% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 65% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-34, 44% -696 | Record at Home | 30-30, 50% -497 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 4-5, 44% -158 | VS Boston Red Sox | 5-4, 56% 100 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team Under .500 | 38-28, 58% 74 | vs Team .500 or Better | 33-35, 49% 123 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record as Road Favorite | 10-12, 45% -472 | Record as Home Underdog | 13-7, 65% 678 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Brennan Bernardino Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts | 15-7, 68% 910 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-5, 44% -80 | Record at Home | 8-4, 67% 278 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Boston Red Sox | 2-0, 100% 220 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-5, 38% -247 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-8, 56% 337 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-1, 50% -17 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-1, 80% 333 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Brennan Bernardino Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts | 5-0, 100% 552 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 32-27, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 30-28, 52% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-2, 78% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-37, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Brennan Bernardino STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Tomoyuki Sugano STARTS | 6-15, 29% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 30-31, 49% -281 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 41-19, 68% +2080 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 4-5, 44% -121 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 11-1, 92% +861
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 31-30, 51% -669 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 35-25, 58% +409 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-6, 33% -365 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-4, 67% +227
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 26-27, 49% -370 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 25-28, 47% -580 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-1, 83% + 390 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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