The San Diego Padres are 40-21 at home this season and the Los Angeles Dodgers are 31-31 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Nick Pivetta has a 30% chance of a QS and Yoshinobu Yamamoto a 25% chance. If Nick Pivetta has a quality start the Padres has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 52%. If Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a quality start the Dodgers has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 62%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Nick Pivetta who averaged 3.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Yoshinobu Yamamoto who averaged 3.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 76% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 31-31, 50% -1072 | Record at Home | 40-21, 66% 868 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 8-2, 80% 312 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 2-8, 20% -491 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 29-28, 51% -844 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-31, 44% -718 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-7, 36% -321 | Record As Home Favorite | 31-16, 66% 383 | San Diego Padres |
| When Yoshinobu Yamamoto Starts | 13-14, 48% -739 | When Nick Pivetta Starts | 15-9, 62% 284 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-9, 40% -532 | Record at Home | 9-3, 75% 322 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 3-0, 100% 195 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-3, 0% -300 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% -168 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-4, 33% -260 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-2, 0% -200 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-3, 73% 218 | San Diego Padres |
| When Yoshinobu Yamamoto Starts | 2-2, 50% -89 | When Nick Pivetta Starts | 3-2, 60% -42 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 26-35, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 27-34, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-10, 29% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-38, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Yoshinobu Yamamoto STARTS | 11-16, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS | 11-13, 46% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 27-35, 44% -1220 San Diego Padres Home Games: 29-32, 48% -94 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 7-8, 47% +425 San Diego Padres Home Games: 5-7, 42% -194
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 33-29, 53% -621 San Diego Padres Home Games: 33-28, 54% -482 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 7-8, 47% -336 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-6, 50% -187
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 26-27, 49% -370 San Diego Padres Home Games: 30-20, 60% + 800 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 San Diego Padres Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170
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