August 23, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins 8/23/2025

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 32-33 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 29-33 at home. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Janson Junk has a 25% chance of a QS and Jose Berrios a 26% chance. If Janson Junk has a quality start the Marlins has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 46%. If Jose Berrios has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 64%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Janson Junk who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 61% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Jose Berrios who averaged 3.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 77% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 68% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road32-33, 49% -170Record at Home29-33, 47% 15Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50040-25, 62% 547vs Team .500 or Better26-36, 42% 5Toronto Blue Jays
Record as Road Favorite12-14, 46% -614Record as Home Underdog24-24, 50% 526Miami Marlins
When Jose Berrios Starts17-8, 68% 651When Janson Junk Starts7-3, 70% 673Miami Marlins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-8, 53% 5Record at Home5-4, 56% 92Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5006-3, 67% 51vs Team .500 or Better8-9, 47% 133Miami Marlins
Record as Road Favorite4-4, 50% -202Record as Home Underdog3-0, 100% 326Miami Marlins
When Jose Berrios Starts4-1, 80% 222When Janson Junk Starts4-1, 80% 472Miami Marlins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD33-29, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-34, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS11-4, 73% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-2, 78% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON56-23, 71% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jose Berrios STARTS15-10, 60% OverOVER-UNDER IN Janson Junk STARTS5-5, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 35-30, 54% +35 Miami Marlins Home Games: 35-27, 56% +738 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 11-6, 65% +468 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-5, 44% -65

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 34-31, 52% -379 Miami Marlins Home Games: 32-30, 52% -558 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-8, 53% -184 Miami Marlins Home Games: 2-7, 22% -528

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 25-32, 44% -1020 Miami Marlins Home Games: 28-28, 50% -280 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-9, 36% -490 Miami Marlins Home Games: 1-6, 14% -560

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