The Pittsburgh Pirates are 36-30 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 16-46 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Braxton Ashcraft is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela. Braxton Ashcraft has a 29% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Antonio Senzatela has a 10% chance of a QS. If Braxton Ashcraft has a quality start the Pirates has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 68%. In Antonio Senzatela quality starts the Rockies win 69%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Braxton Ashcraft who averaged 3.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Antonio Senzatela who averaged 3.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 16-46, 26% -1965 | Record at Home | 36-30, 55% 673 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-1, 67% 209 | VS Colorado Rockies | 1-2, 33% -139 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 28-35, 44% 681 | vs Team Under .500 | 27-26, 51% 265 | Colorado Rockies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-46, 23% -2078 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-15, 44% -636 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Antonio Senzatela Starts | 8-15, 35% -351 | When Braxton Ashcraft Starts | 2-1, 67% 228 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -104 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% 181 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-1, 67% 209 | VS Colorado Rockies | 1-2, 33% -139 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-9, 40% 266 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -131 | Colorado Rockies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-8, 33% -104 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-3, 40% -182 | Colorado Rockies |
| When Antonio Senzatela Starts | 2-1, 67% 117 | When Braxton Ashcraft Starts | 1-1, 50% 66 | Colorado Rockies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-37, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 27-33, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Antonio Senzatela STARTS | 11-12, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Braxton Ashcraft STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 42-20, 68% +1570 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 33-33, 50% +192 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 6-6, 50% -194 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-8, 43% -157
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 48-14, 77% +464 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 33-33, 50% -531 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 8-4, 67% -55 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-5, 64% +255
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 23-29, 44% -890 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 26-29, 47% -590 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150
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