The Kansas City Royals are 35-30 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 26-39 on the road this season. The Royals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals starter Michael Lorenzen is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Patrick Corbin. Michael Lorenzen has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Patrick Corbin has a 41% chance of a QS. If Michael Lorenzen has a quality start the Royals has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 63%. In Patrick Corbin quality starts the Rangers win 63%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 26-39, 40% -1478 | Record at Home | 35-30, 54% -323 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 1-5, 17% -419 | VS Texas Rangers | 5-1, 83% 358 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 25-41, 38% -1814 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-37, 37% -1225 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-27, 36% -1091 | Record As Home Favorite | 27-17, 61% 79 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Patrick Corbin Starts | 10-13, 43% -348 | When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 11-9, 55% 218 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-9, 31% -543 | Record at Home | 11-4, 73% 379 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 1-2, 33% -119 | VS Texas Rangers | 2-1, 67% 65 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-11, 48% -278 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-6, 57% 211 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-7, 12% -592 | Record As Home Favorite | 11-2, 85% 579 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Patrick Corbin Starts | 2-3, 40% -112 | When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 1-0, 100% 67 | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 32-33, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-39, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-44, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Patrick Corbin STARTS | 12-11, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Michael Lorenzen STARTS | 7-13, 35% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 35-30, 54% -253 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 33-32, 51% -278 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-8, 38% -342 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 6-9, 40% -398
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 37-28, 57% -17 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 42-23, 65% +744 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 7-6, 54% -129 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 10-5, 67% +172
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 26-32, 45% -920 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 41-22, 65% + 1680 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-10, 17% -900 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40
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