The Washington Nationals are 25-39 at home this season and the New York Mets are 26-35 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. MacKenzie Gore has a 49% chance of a QS and Sean Manaea a 46% chance. If MacKenzie Gore has a quality start the Nationals has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 48%. If Sean Manaea has a quality start the Mets has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 69% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 26-35, 43% -1400 | Record at Home | 25-39, 39% -780 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 6-3, 67% 3 | VS New York Mets | 3-6, 33% -177 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 42-32, 57% -717 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-43, 36% -971 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 16-17, 48% -706 | Record as Home Underdog | 24-29, 45% 159 | Washington Nationals |
| When Sean Manaea Starts | 1-5, 17% -447 | When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 8-15, 35% -611 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -367 | Record at Home | 5-9, 36% -237 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 1-1, 50% -51 | VS New York Mets | 1-1, 50% 45 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-3, 70% 194 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-5, 55% 440 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-2, 50% -79 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-8, 38% -137 | New York Mets |
| When Sean Manaea Starts | 1-4, 20% -347 | When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 1-3, 25% -167 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 26-30, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 32-27, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sean Manaea STARTS | 5-1, 83% Over | OVER-UNDER IN MacKenzie Gore STARTS | 11-11, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 37-24, 61% +447 Washington Nationals Home Games: 27-37, 42% -651 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-7, 36% -476 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-10, 29% -498
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 35-26, 57% +12 Washington Nationals Home Games: 27-37, 42% -1761 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-6, 45% -230 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-8, 43% -467
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 25-22, 53% + 80 Washington Nationals Home Games: 23-25, 48% -450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 Washington Nationals Home Games: 3-7, 30% -470
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