August 21, 2025 4:38 AM EST

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs 8/21/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Chicago Cubs are 41-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 36-28 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Quinn Priester. Shota Imanaga has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Quinn Priester has a 47% chance of a QS. If Shota Imanaga has a quality start the Cubs has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 60%. In Quinn Priester quality starts the Brewers win 63%. He has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Michael Busch who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 1.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road36-28, 56% 697Record at Home41-23, 64% 175Milwaukee Brewers
VS Chicago Cubs4-7, 36% -321VS Milwaukee Brewers7-4, 64% 193Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better37-23, 62% 1410vs Team .500 or Better34-32, 52% -222Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog22-20, 52% 564Record As Home Favorite35-18, 66% 106Milwaukee Brewers
When Quinn Priester Starts14-6, 70% 630When Shota Imanaga Starts12-7, 63% 197Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-5, 64% 181Record at Home9-5, 64% 76Milwaukee Brewers
VS Chicago Cubs2-4, 33% -218VS Milwaukee Brewers4-2, 67% 154Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better12-8, 60% 121vs Team .500 or Better11-9, 55% -115Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -78Record As Home Favorite7-5, 58% -114Milwaukee Brewers
When Quinn Priester Starts5-0, 100% 428When Shota Imanaga Starts2-3, 40% -154Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD31-30, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME26-35, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-4, 69% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-11, 15% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-47, 41% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Quinn Priester STARTS11-9, 55% OverOVER-UNDER IN Shota Imanaga STARTS5-13, 28% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 29-35, 45% -1213 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 37-27, 58% -284 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 5-9, 36% -479 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-5, 64% +238

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 33-31, 52% -621 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 42-22, 66% +340 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-7, 50% -174 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-5, 64% +122

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 24-24, 50% -240 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 21-34, 38% -1640 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW