The Houston Astros are 31-31 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 30-30 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Jason Alexander is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Brandon Young. Jason Alexander has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Young has a 38% chance of a QS. If Jason Alexander has a quality start the Astros has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 61%. In Brandon Young quality starts the Orioles win 69%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 31-31, 50% -131 | Record at Home | 30-30, 50% -497 | Houston Astros |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-2, 33% -131 | VS Houston Astros | 2-1, 67% 199 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team Under .500 | 35-31, 53% -319 | vs Team .500 or Better | 33-35, 49% 123 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-15, 50% 367 | Record As Home Favorite | 17-23, 42% -1175 | Houston Astros |
| When Jason Alexander Starts | 5-1, 83% 403 | When Brandon Young Starts | 2-7, 22% -415 | Houston Astros |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% -145 | Record at Home | 8-5, 62% 178 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-2, 33% -131 | VS Houston Astros | 2-1, 67% 199 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-15, 32% -763 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-2, 67% 184 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 185 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-4, 50% -155 | Houston Astros |
| When Jason Alexander Starts | 4-1, 80% 328 | When Brandon Young Starts | 2-2, 50% 85 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 28-28, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 30-28, 52% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-37, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jason Alexander STARTS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Young STARTS | 3-6, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 28-34, 45% -716 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 41-19, 68% +2080 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-7, 50% +2 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 11-2, 85% +761
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 32-30, 52% -401 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 35-25, 58% +409 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-7, 50% -91 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-5, 62% +127
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 21-23, 48% -430 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 25-28, 47% -580 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270
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