The Pittsburgh Pirates are 35-30 at home this season and the Toronto Blue Jays are 32-32 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Johan Oviedo. Chris Bassitt has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Johan Oviedo has a 48% chance of a QS. If Chris Bassitt has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 55%. In Johan Oviedo quality starts the Pirates win 66%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 1.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 32-32, 50% -70 | Record at Home | 35-30, 54% 535 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 1-1, 50% -36 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-1, 50% -9 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 40-24, 62% 647 | vs Team .500 or Better | 26-48, 35% -1487 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 12-13, 48% -514 | Record as Home Underdog | 23-15, 61% 1171 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Chris Bassitt Starts | 15-9, 62% 355 | When Johan Oviedo Starts | 1-0, 100% 104 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-7, 56% 105 | Record at Home | 9-6, 60% 227 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 1-1, 50% -36 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-1, 50% -9 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-11, 50% 23 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-8, 47% -85 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-3, 57% -102 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-3, 67% 333 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Chris Bassitt Starts | 2-3, 40% -94 | When Johan Oviedo Starts | 1-0, 100% 104 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 33-28, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 27-32, 46% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 11-3, 79% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chris Bassitt STARTS | 12-11, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Johan Oviedo STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 34-30, 53% -103 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 32-33, 49% +54 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 10-6, 62% +330 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-9, 40% -287
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 34-30, 53% -279 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 33-32, 51% -431 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-7, 56% -84 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 10-5, 67% +363
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 24-32, 43% -1120 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 25-29, 46% -690 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-9, 31% -590 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
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