August 19, 2025 10:15 AM EST

Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies 8/19/2025

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 34-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 29-28 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners starter Bryce Miller. Cristopher Sanchez has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bryce Miller has a 35% chance of a QS. If Cristopher Sanchez has a quality start the Phillies has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 66%. In Bryce Miller quality starts the Mariners win 63%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 53% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Seattle MarinersRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road29-28, 51% 36Record at Home34-20, 63% 76Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesVS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better37-28, 57% 606vs Team .500 or Better24-23, 51% -561Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog13-14, 48% 206Record As Home Favorite30-19, 61% -234Seattle Mariners
When Bryce Miller Starts6-6, 50% -113When Cristopher Sanchez Starts14-4, 78% 432Philadelphia Phillies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-4, 43% -125Record at Home3-3, 50% -142Seattle Mariners
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesVS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -232vs Team Under .5003-3, 50% -34Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog1-0, 100% 126Record As Home Favorite3-3, 50% -142Seattle Mariners
When Bryce Miller Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Cristopher Sanchez Starts1-1, 50% -51Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD32-24, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME29-24, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-6, 14% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-42, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Miller STARTS8-4, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Cristopher Sanchez STARTS7-11, 39% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 26-31, 46% -445 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 33-21, 61% +218 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-3, 57% +158 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 3-3, 50% -63

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 24-33, 42% -1367 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 34-20, 63% +76 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-4, 43% -108 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 3-3, 50% -142

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 15-33, 31% -2130 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 19-27, 41% -1070 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-1, 83% + 390

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