The Detroit Tigers are 36-21 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 27-25 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Jack Flaherty is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Spencer Arrighetti. Jack Flaherty has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Spencer Arrighetti has a 37% chance of a QS. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Tigers has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 61%. In Spencer Arrighetti quality starts the Astros win 66%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-25, 52% 1 | Record at Home | 36-21, 63% 478 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-1, 67% 69 | VS Houston Astros | 1-2, 33% -98 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 33-25, 57% 504 | vs Team .500 or Better | 29-30, 49% -640 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-13, 48% 186 | Record As Home Favorite | 30-18, 62% 86 | Houston Astros |
| When Spencer Arrighetti Starts | 3-1, 75% 165 | When Jack Flaherty Starts | 11-15, 42% -703 | Houston Astros |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-3, 57% 117 | Record at Home | 4-3, 57% 8 | Houston Astros |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-2, 75% 369 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-0, 100% 221 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-2, 60% 134 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-3, 57% 8 | Houston Astros |
| When Spencer Arrighetti Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Jack Flaherty Starts | 1-2, 33% -113 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-25, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-30, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-3, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Arrighetti STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS | 14-11, 56% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 22-30, 42% -942 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 29-28, 51% +72 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 2-5, 29% -348 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 3-4, 43% -52
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 26-26, 50% -534 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 33-24, 58% -133 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 2-5, 29% -348 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 2-5, 29% -344
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 20-18, 53% + 20 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 22-23, 49% -330 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-1, 75% + 190 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 2-3, 40% -130
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
