The Boston Red Sox are 36-21 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 28-26 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox starter Garrett Crochet is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Janson Junk. Garrett Crochet has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Janson Junk has a 43% chance of a QS. If Garrett Crochet has a quality start the Red Sox has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 67%. In Janson Junk quality starts the Marlins win 55%. He has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Kyle Stowers who averaged 1.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 28-26, 52% 1420 | Record at Home | 36-21, 63% 751 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 22-30, 42% 110 | vs Team Under .500 | 33-21, 61% 441 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 27-24, 53% 1555 | Record As Home Favorite | 26-17, 60% 27 | Miami Marlins |
| When Janson Junk Starts | 5-2, 71% 478 | When Garrett Crochet Starts | 15-8, 65% 219 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-2, 67% 382 | Record at Home | 4-1, 80% 261 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-3, 67% 428 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-4, 33% -202 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-2, 67% 382 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-0, 100% 145 | Miami Marlins |
| When Janson Junk Starts | 2-1, 67% 177 | When Garrett Crochet Starts | 2-0, 100% 139 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 27-26, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-32, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-4, 20% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-4, 20% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-47, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-42, 45% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Janson Junk STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Garrett Crochet STARTS | 6-16, 27% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 24-30, 44% +117 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 30-27, 53% +212 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 3-3, 50% +102 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 2-3, 40% -112
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 26-28, 48% -1288 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 31-26, 54% -268 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 2-4, 33% -260 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 3-2, 60% +57
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 26-16, 62% + 840 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 26-21, 55% + 290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 190
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
