August 14, 2025 5:46 AM EST

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles 8/14/2025

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The Baltimore Orioles are 27-27 at home this season and the Seattle Mariners are 29-28 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tomoyuki Sugano has a 43% chance of a QS and Logan Evans a 41% chance. If Tomoyuki Sugano has a quality start the Orioles has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 53%. If Logan Evans has a quality start the Mariners has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 54%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ramon Laureano who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Seattle MarinersRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road29-28, 51% 36Record at Home27-27, 50% -514Seattle Mariners
VS Baltimore Orioles0-3, 0% -300VS Seattle Mariners3-0, 100% 341Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .50022-25, 47% -934vs Team .500 or Better28-34, 45% -493Baltimore Orioles
Record as Road Favorite16-14, 53% -170Record as Home Underdog11-6, 65% 548Baltimore Orioles
When Logan Evans Starts5-4, 56% 71When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts12-7, 63% 597Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Seattle MarinersRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-4, 43% -125Record at Home5-2, 71% 161Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -232vs Team .500 or Better7-6, 54% 55Baltimore Orioles
Record as Road Favorite2-4, 33% -251Record as Home Underdog2-0, 100% 203Baltimore Orioles
When Logan Evans Starts2-1, 67% 102When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts2-1, 67% 139Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD32-24, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME29-23, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-6, 14% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-37, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Logan Evans STARTS6-3, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tomoyuki Sugano STARTS6-12, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 26-31, 46% -445 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 35-19, 65% +1509 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-3, 57% +158 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-2, 71% +190

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 24-33, 42% -1367 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 31-23, 57% +268 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-4, 43% -108 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-3, 57% -14

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 15-33, 31% -2130 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 22-26, 46% -660 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350

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