August 12, 2025 12:54 PM EST

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles 8/12/2025

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The Seattle Mariners are 29-28 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 27-27 at home. The Mariners have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Emerson Hancock is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Brandon Young. Emerson Hancock has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Young has a 22% chance of a QS. If Emerson Hancock has a quality start the Mariners has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 70%. In Brandon Young quality starts the Orioles win 62%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 46% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 76% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Seattle MarinersRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road29-28, 51% 36Record at Home27-27, 50% -514Seattle Mariners
VS Baltimore Orioles0-3, 0% -300VS Seattle Mariners3-0, 100% 341Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .50022-25, 47% -934vs Team .500 or Better28-34, 45% -493Baltimore Orioles
Record as Road Favorite16-14, 53% -170Record as Home Underdog11-6, 65% 548Baltimore Orioles
When Emerson Hancock Starts7-8, 47% -72When Brandon Young Starts1-6, 14% -501Seattle Mariners

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Seattle MarinersRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-4, 50% -37Record at Home5-3, 62% 61Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-3, 62% 115vs Team .500 or Better7-7, 50% -45Seattle Mariners
Record as Road Favorite3-4, 43% -163Record as Home Underdog2-0, 100% 203Baltimore Orioles
When Emerson Hancock Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Brandon Young Starts1-2, 33% -101Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD32-24, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME29-23, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-6, 25% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-2, 75% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-37, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Emerson Hancock STARTS10-5, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Brandon Young STARTS3-4, 43% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 26-31, 46% -445 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 35-19, 65% +1509 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-4, 50% +58 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-2, 75% +290

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 24-33, 42% -1367 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 31-23, 57% +268 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-5, 38% -208 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-3, 62% +86

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 15-33, 31% -2130 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 22-26, 46% -660 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350

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