The Cincinnati Reds are 32-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 28-28 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Andrew Abbott is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies starter Taijuan Walker. Andrew Abbott has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Taijuan Walker has a 16% chance of a QS. If Andrew Abbott has a quality start the Reds has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 67%. In Taijuan Walker quality starts the Phillies win 59%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 82% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 28-28, 50% -772 | Record at Home | 32-25, 56% 184 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 2-1, 67% -1 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-2, 33% -67 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 24-23, 51% -561 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-27, 48% 130 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-9, 36% -299 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-17, 54% -325 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Taijuan Walker Starts | 7-8, 47% -276 | When Andrew Abbott Starts | 13-7, 65% 560 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-4, 50% -67 | Record at Home | 7-3, 70% 244 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-4, 50% -175 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-3, 62% 186 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-0, 100% 127 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-1, 83% 209 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Taijuan Walker Starts | 3-1, 75% 179 | When Andrew Abbott Starts | 1-2, 33% -121 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-33, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-35, 35% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-3, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-8, 11% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Taijuan Walker STARTS | 6-9, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Andrew Abbott STARTS | 11-9, 55% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 29-27, 52% -367 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 34-23, 60% +650 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-3, 62% +364 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-3, 70% +244
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 30-26, 54% -585 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 32-25, 56% -22 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 2-6, 25% -437 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-3, 70% +165
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 24-21, 53% + 90 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 24-20, 55% + 200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 2-4, 33% -240 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 2-6, 25% -460
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