August 01, 2025 2:19 PM EST

New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins 8/1/2025

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The Miami Marlins are 23-29 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 26-26 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Janson Junk has a 54% chance of a QS and Carlos Rodon a 57% chance. If Janson Junk has a quality start the Marlins has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.7 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 52%. If Carlos Rodon has a quality start the Yankees has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Kyle Stowers who averaged 1.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

New York YankeesRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-26, 50% -775Record at Home23-29, 44% -199Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesVS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50024-13, 65% 124vs Team .500 or Better22-33, 40% -73New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite22-20, 52% -626Record as Home Underdog20-24, 45% 78Miami Marlins
When Carlos Rodon Starts10-10, 50% -400When Janson Junk Starts3-2, 60% 201Miami Marlins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

New York YankeesRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-6, 40% -254Record at Home5-5, 50% -5Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesVS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-7, 46% -266vs Team .500 or Better5-5, 50% -5Miami Marlins
Record as Road Favorite2-5, 29% -367Record as Home Underdog4-3, 57% 119Miami Marlins
When Carlos Rodon Starts1-2, 33% -146When Janson Junk Starts2-2, 50% 48Miami Marlins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-24, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-31, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-2, 78% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-40, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON56-23, 71% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Carlos Rodon STARTS9-11, 45% OverOVER-UNDER IN Janson Junk STARTS2-3, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 22-30, 42% -875 Miami Marlins Home Games: 30-22, 58% +681 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 5-5, 50% -62 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-3, 70% +399

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 26-26, 50% -726 Miami Marlins Home Games: 29-23, 56% -152 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-7, 30% -449 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-4, 60% +188

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 22-21, 51% -110 Miami Marlins Home Games: 26-22, 54% + 180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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