The Cincinnati Reds are 27-22 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 18-31 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Brady Singer is forecasted to have a better game than Braves starter Bryce Elder. Brady Singer has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bryce Elder has a 14% chance of a QS. If Brady Singer has a quality start the Reds has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 71%. In Bryce Elder quality starts the Braves win 58%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 81% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.78 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 44% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-31, 37% -1667 | Record at Home | 27-22, 55% 11 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 3-1, 75% 61 | VS Atlanta Braves | 1-3, 25% -200 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 27-35, 44% -1408 | vs Team .500 or Better | 28-31, 47% -43 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-12, 33% -597 | Record As Home Favorite | 17-16, 52% -463 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Bryce Elder Starts | 7-10, 41% -502 | When Brady Singer Starts | 10-10, 50% -25 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-3, 50% -13 | Record at Home | 4-3, 57% -102 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-7, 36% -334 | vs Team Under .500 | 2-3, 40% -229 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-1, 67% 99 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-3, 57% -102 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Bryce Elder Starts | 2-1, 67% 64 | When Brady Singer Starts | 1-3, 25% -269 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 23-23, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-29, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-1, 83% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-5, 29% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Elder STARTS | 7-9, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brady Singer STARTS | 6-13, 32% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 16-33, 33% -2135 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 29-20, 59% +477 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 1-5, 17% -320 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-2, 71% +194
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 23-26, 47% -926 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 27-22, 55% -116 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 2-4, 33% -239 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 4-3, 57% -102
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 17-26, 40% -1160 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 22-16, 58% + 440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 0-5, 0% -550 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 1-3, 25% -230
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