July 08, 2025 9:45 AM EST

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants 7/8/2025

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The San Francisco Giants are 25-17 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 23-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants starter Robbie Ray is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies starter Taijuan Walker. Robbie Ray has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Taijuan Walker has a 45% chance of a QS. If Robbie Ray has a quality start the Giants has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 51%. In Taijuan Walker quality starts the Phillies win 71%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 61% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-21, 52% -481Record at Home25-17, 60% 52San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants2-2, 50% -91VS Philadelphia Phillies2-2, 50% 22San Francisco Giants
vs Team .500 or Better23-23, 50% -700vs Team .500 or Better23-18, 56% 365San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog4-8, 33% -326Record As Home Favorite21-17, 55% -348Philadelphia Phillies
When Taijuan Walker Starts4-5, 44% -255When Robbie Ray Starts14-4, 78% 743San Francisco Giants

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% -139Record at Home4-6, 40% -304Philadelphia Phillies
VS San Francisco Giants0-0 No GamesVS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5006-3, 67% 200vs Team .500 or Better5-8, 38% -298Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog2-4, 33% -133Record As Home Favorite3-6, 33% -402Philadelphia Phillies
When Taijuan Walker Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Robbie Ray Starts3-2, 60% -16Philadelphia Phillies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-27, 37% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-25, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-9, 18% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Taijuan Walker STARTS3-6, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Robbie Ray STARTS7-11, 39% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 23-21, 52% -549 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 23-19, 55% +236 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-6, 45% -235 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 6-4, 60% +271

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 26-18, 59% -131 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 21-21, 50% -654 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-5, 55% -106 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-7, 30% -502

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 21-16, 57% + 340 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 19-16, 54% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140

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