The Minnesota Twins are 22-17 at home this season and the Tampa Bay Rays are 20-14 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Joe Ryan has a 57% chance of a QS and Drew Rasmussen a 53% chance. If Joe Ryan has a quality start the Twins has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.6 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 52%. If Drew Rasmussen has a quality start the Rays has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 51%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Jonathan Aranda who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-14, 59% 864 | Record at Home | 22-17, 56% -32 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 2-1, 67% 64 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-2, 33% -118 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 24-25, 49% -721 | vs Team .500 or Better | 16-27, 37% -1327 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 17-9, 65% 1138 | Record As Home Favorite | 19-16, 54% -282 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 9-8, 53% -110 | When Joe Ryan Starts | 8-9, 47% -293 | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-4, 67% 451 | Record at Home | 4-9, 31% -613 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 10-6, 62% 361 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-17, 29% -1143 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-1, 86% 593 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-8, 33% -513 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 3-2, 60% 32 | When Joe Ryan Starts | 2-4, 33% -267 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-19, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-19, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-3, 77% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Drew Rasmussen STARTS | 5-12, 29% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Joe Ryan STARTS | 4-12, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 22-12, 65% +854 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 21-18, 54% +182 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-5, 58% -94 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-7, 46% -89
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 17-17, 50% -345 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 22-17, 56% +65 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-6, 50% -51 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-6, 54% +2
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 16-15, 52% -50 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 18-14, 56% + 260 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 3-8, 27% -580
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