The New York Yankees are 22-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 30-13 at home. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Max Fried is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter Clay Holmes. Max Fried has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Clay Holmes has a 39% chance of a QS. If Max Fried has a quality start the Yankees has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 58%. In Clay Holmes quality starts the Mets win 69%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
New York Yankees | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 22-21, 51% -621 | Record at Home | 30-13, 70% 601 | New York Mets |
VS New York Mets | 2-1, 67% 25 | VS New York Yankees | 1-2, 33% -90 | New York Yankees |
vs Team .500 or Better | 20-20, 50% -556 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-19, 56% 227 | New York Mets |
Record as Road Favorite | 20-16, 56% -359 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-4, 43% -76 | New York Mets |
When Max Fried Starts | 13-6, 68% 55 | When Clay Holmes Starts | 11-6, 65% 21 | New York Yankees |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
New York Yankees | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -557 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% -205 | New York Mets |
VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team Under .500 | 7-2, 78% 189 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-0, 100% 242 | New York Mets |
Record as Road Favorite | 4-7, 36% -457 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-2, 33% -92 | New York Mets |
When Max Fried Starts | 2-4, 33% -305 | When Clay Holmes Starts | 2-3, 40% -201 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
New York Yankees | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-22, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-22, 46% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-40, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Max Fried STARTS | 8-10, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Clay Holmes STARTS | 8-9, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 18-25, 42% -709 New York Mets Home Games: 19-24, 44% -1131 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-6, 50% +158 New York Mets Home Games: 4-8, 33% -514
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 23-20, 53% -377 New York Mets Home Games: 23-20, 53% -687 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-9, 25% -701 New York Mets Home Games: 7-5, 58% -72
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 19-19, 50% -190 New York Mets Home Games: 16-17, 48% -270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 New York Mets Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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