The Arizona Diamondbacks are 22-22 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 20-22 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Corbin Burnes is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Michael Lorenzen. Corbin Burnes has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael Lorenzen has a 37% chance of a QS. If Corbin Burnes has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 70%. In Michael Lorenzen quality starts the Royals win 60%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.64 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Maikel Garcia who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 49% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-22, 48% 87 | Record at Home | 22-22, 50% -539 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 18-30, 38% -757 | vs Team Under .500 | 18-15, 55% -194 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 17-15, 53% 567 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-20, 44% -986 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 9-8, 53% 123 | When Corbin Burnes Starts | 6-5, 55% -98 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-6, 50% 24 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 85 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-7, 42% -150 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-4, 67% 172 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 181 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-5, 44% -237 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Michael Lorenzen Starts | 3-2, 60% 131 | When Corbin Burnes Starts | 0-0 No Games | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-24, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-19, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-3, 75% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-49, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 50-29, 63% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Michael Lorenzen STARTS | 7-10, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Corbin Burnes STARTS | 5-5, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-20, 52% +822 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 20-24, 45% -796 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-6, 50% +313 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 6-6, 50% -73
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 21-21, 50% -442 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 21-23, 48% -729 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-6, 50% -141 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 7-5, 58% +85
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-14, 61% + 660 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 18-18, 50% -180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
