July 06, 2025 10:40 AM EST

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/6/2025

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 32-14 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 20-20 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Emmet Sheehan is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Colton Gordon. Emmet Sheehan has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Colton Gordon has a 24% chance of a QS. If Emmet Sheehan has a quality start the Dodgers has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 73%. In Colton Gordon quality starts the Astros win 59%. He has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Shohei Ohtani (b) who averaged 2.73 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 38% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-20, 50% -348Record at Home32-14, 70% 178Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesVS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better25-19, 57% 199vs Team .500 or Better24-19, 56% -266Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog6-10, 38% -280Record As Home Favorite31-14, 69% 76Los Angeles Dodgers
When Colton Gordon Starts4-2, 67% 160When Emmet Sheehan Starts1-0, 100% 54Houston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-4, 67% 121Record at Home9-3, 75% 115Houston Astros
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesVS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better7-2, 78% 357vs Team .500 or Better1-2, 33% -131Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog0-2, 0% -200Record As Home Favorite9-3, 75% 115Los Angeles Dodgers
When Colton Gordon Starts4-1, 80% 260When Emmet Sheehan Starts1-0, 100% 54Houston Astros

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-20, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-15, 65% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON29-48, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON51-33, 61% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Colton Gordon STARTS2-2, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Emmet Sheehan STARTS0-1, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 18-22, 45% -504 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 23-23, 50% -601 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-9, 25% -580 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 8-4, 67% +158

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 23-17, 58% +162 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 31-15, 67% +13 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 8-4, 67% +208 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 9-3, 75% +115

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 15-15, 50% -150 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-15, 58% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240

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