The Philadelphia Phillies are 28-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 21-23 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Zack Wheeler has a 31% chance of a QS and Chase Burns a 30% chance. If Zack Wheeler has a quality start the Phillies has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 62%. If Chase Burns has a quality start the Reds has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9.1 and he has a 60% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 43%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-23, 48% -24 | Record at Home | 28-15, 65% 243 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 20-23, 47% -171 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-23, 50% -654 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-17, 47% 127 | Record As Home Favorite | 24-14, 63% -67 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Chase Burns Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Zack Wheeler Starts | 12-5, 71% 136 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-6, 50% 141 | Record at Home | 9-3, 75% 290 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-5, 55% 218 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-9, 53% -82 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% 55 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-2, 82% 390 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Chase Burns Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Zack Wheeler Starts | 4-1, 80% 116 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-23, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-20, 52% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-42, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chase Burns STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Zack Wheeler STARTS | 8-9, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 22-22, 50% -465 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 27-16, 63% +94 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-6, 50% -42 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 9-3, 75% +290
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 25-19, 57% +29 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 28-15, 65% +243 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-7, 42% -302 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 9-3, 75% +290
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 16-23, 41% -930 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 13-22, 37% -1120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50
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