The San Diego Padres are 25-14 at home this season and the Texas Rangers are 17-25 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres starter Stephen Kolek is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Patrick Corbin. Stephen Kolek has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Patrick Corbin has a 46% chance of a QS. If Stephen Kolek has a quality start the Padres has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 57%. In Patrick Corbin quality starts the Rangers win 65%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-25, 40% -947 | Record at Home | 25-14, 64% 351 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | VS Texas Rangers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 17-26, 40% -1127 | vs Team .500 or Better | 17-32, 35% -1264 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-17, 37% -627 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-10, 67% 235 | San Diego Padres |
| When Patrick Corbin Starts | 5-10, 33% -535 | When Stephen Kolek Starts | 5-7, 42% -230 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-5, 62% 188 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% -30 | Texas Rangers |
| VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | VS Texas Rangers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-5, 58% 3 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-12, 37% -315 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 141 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-2, 60% -16 | Texas Rangers |
| When Patrick Corbin Starts | 1-4, 20% -262 | When Stephen Kolek Starts | 1-5, 17% -388 | Texas Rangers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-26, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-23, 41% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Patrick Corbin STARTS | 7-8, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Stephen Kolek STARTS | 5-7, 42% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 22-20, 52% -350 San Diego Padres Home Games: 18-21, 46% -167 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 7-6, 54% -74 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-2, 78% +466
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 25-17, 60% +179 San Diego Padres Home Games: 24-15, 62% +112 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 9-4, 69% +273 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-3, 67% +131
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 21-16, 57% + 340 San Diego Padres Home Games: 21-13, 62% + 670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270
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