July 05, 2025 9:37 AM EST

Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins 7/5/2025

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The Minnesota Twins are 22-17 at home this season and the Tampa Bay Rays are 20-14 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Simeon Woods Richardson has a 41% chance of a QS and Taj Bradley a 44% chance. If Simeon Woods Richardson has a quality start the Twins has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 56%. If Taj Bradley has a quality start the Rays has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Jonathan Aranda who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-14, 59% 864Record at Home22-17, 56% -32Tampa Bay Rays
VS Minnesota Twins2-1, 67% 64VS Tampa Bay Rays1-2, 33% -118Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team Under .50024-25, 49% -721vs Team .500 or Better16-27, 37% -1327Tampa Bay Rays
Record as Road Favorite3-5, 38% -274Record as Home Underdog3-1, 75% 250Minnesota Twins
When Taj Bradley Starts10-8, 56% 226When Simeon Woods Richardson Starts7-5, 58% 86Tampa Bay Rays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-4, 67% 451Record at Home4-9, 31% -613Tampa Bay Rays
VS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5006-0, 100% 665vs Team .500 or Better7-18, 28% -1243Tampa Bay Rays
Record as Road Favorite2-3, 40% -142Record as Home Underdog0-1, 0% -100Minnesota Twins
When Taj Bradley Starts4-2, 67% 220When Simeon Woods Richardson Starts2-2, 50% -37Tampa Bay Rays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-19, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-19, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-3, 77% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-46, 41% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Taj Bradley STARTS9-7, 56% OverOVER-UNDER IN Simeon Woods Richardson STARTS4-8, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 22-12, 65% +854 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 21-18, 54% +182 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-5, 58% -94 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-7, 46% -89

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 17-17, 50% -345 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 22-17, 56% +65 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-6, 50% -51 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-6, 54% +2

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 16-15, 52% -50 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 18-14, 56% + 260 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 3-8, 27% -580

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