The Chicago Cubs are 27-15 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 21-24 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Drew Pomeranz is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore. Drew Pomeranz has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matthew Liberatore has a 29% chance of a QS. If Drew Pomeranz has a quality start the Cubs has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 73%. In Matthew Liberatore quality starts the Cardinals win 63%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-24, 47% -313 | Record at Home | 27-15, 64% 86 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 2-2, 50% -9 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 2-2, 50% -54 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-23, 50% 27 | vs Team .500 or Better | 27-29, 48% -459 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-17, 41% -301 | Record As Home Favorite | 23-11, 68% 107 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Matthew Liberatore Starts | 7-8, 47% -127 | When Drew Pomeranz Starts | 2-0, 100% 132 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% -41 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% -15 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 2-2, 50% -9 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 2-2, 50% -54 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-13, 35% -648 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-2, 71% 129 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-3, 40% -100 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-3, 70% 85 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Matthew Liberatore Starts | 3-2, 60% 45 | When Drew Pomeranz Starts | 1-0, 100% 70 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-22, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-21, 49% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Liberatore STARTS | 8-7, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Drew Pomeranz STARTS | 0-2, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 23-22, 51% -32 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 23-19, 55% -535 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-9, 31% -465 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-4, 64% -15
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 27-18, 60% +349 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 28-14, 67% +205 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 8-5, 62% +126 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-4, 64% -15
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 16-21, 43% -710 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 14-22, 39% -1020 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 1-8, 11% -780
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