The Seattle Mariners are 22-20 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 12-29 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Luis Castillo is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Mike Burrows. Luis Castillo has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mike Burrows has a 34% chance of a QS. If Luis Castillo has a quality start the Mariners has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 72%. In Mike Burrows quality starts the Pirates win 56%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 47% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-29, 29% -1025 | Record at Home | 22-20, 52% -378 | Seattle Mariners |
| VS Seattle Mariners | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 27-38, 42% -328 | vs Team .500 or Better | 14-20, 41% -567 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-23, 30% -573 | Record As Home Favorite | 18-17, 51% -512 | Seattle Mariners |
| When Mike Burrows Starts | 4-3, 57% 222 | When Luis Castillo Starts | 9-9, 50% -194 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-7, 30% -188 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% 16 | Seattle Mariners |
| VS Seattle Mariners | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-11, 45% 7 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-10, 38% -516 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-6, 33% -88 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-3, 67% 116 | Seattle Mariners |
| When Mike Burrows Starts | 2-2, 50% 7 | When Luis Castillo Starts | 2-2, 50% -26 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-24, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-17, 56% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-44, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Mike Burrows STARTS | 5-2, 71% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luis Castillo STARTS | 9-7, 56% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 27-14, 66% +1201 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 18-24, 43% -757 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-4, 60% +125 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-4, 60% +117
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 27-14, 66% +286 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 21-21, 50% -542 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-4, 60% -43 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-3, 70% +199
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 17-17, 50% -170 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 24-14, 63% + 860 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 2-7, 22% -570 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250
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