The New York Mets are 30-13 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 22-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Frankie Montas has a 40% chance of a QS and Carlos Rodon a 42% chance. If Frankie Montas has a quality start the Mets has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 57%. If Carlos Rodon has a quality start the Yankees has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Yankees | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-21, 51% -621 | Record at Home | 30-13, 70% 601 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 2-1, 67% 25 | VS New York Yankees | 1-2, 33% -90 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 20-20, 50% -556 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-19, 56% 227 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 20-16, 56% -359 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-4, 43% -76 | New York Mets |
| When Carlos Rodon Starts | 9-8, 53% -254 | When Frankie Montas Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Yankees | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -557 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% -205 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-0, 100% 232 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-10, 17% -798 | New York Yankees |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-7, 36% -457 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-2, 33% -92 | New York Mets |
| When Carlos Rodon Starts | 1-3, 25% -265 | When Frankie Montas Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Yankees | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-22, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-22, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-40, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Carlos Rodon STARTS | 7-10, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Frankie Montas STARTS | 2-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 18-25, 42% -709 New York Mets Home Games: 19-24, 44% -1131 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-6, 50% +158 New York Mets Home Games: 4-8, 33% -514
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 23-20, 53% -377 New York Mets Home Games: 23-20, 53% -687 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-9, 25% -701 New York Mets Home Games: 7-5, 58% -72
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 19-19, 50% -190 New York Mets Home Games: 16-17, 48% -270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 New York Mets Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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