July 05, 2025 9:37 AM EST

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins 7/5/2025

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The Miami Marlins are 18-25 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 21-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Cal Quantrill has a 46% chance of a QS and Chad Patrick a 43% chance. If Cal Quantrill has a quality start the Marlins has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 60%. If Chad Patrick has a quality start the Brewers has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 51%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jesus Sanchez who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road21-21, 50% 30Record at Home18-25, 42% -294Milwaukee Brewers
VS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50025-15, 62% 524vs Team .500 or Better21-31, 40% 157Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite6-5, 55% -110Record as Home Underdog16-22, 42% -141Milwaukee Brewers
When Chad Patrick Starts4-11, 27% -605When Cal Quantrill Starts9-8, 53% 735Miami Marlins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-2, 71% 354Record at Home4-5, 44% 24Milwaukee Brewers
VS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-2, 60% 38vs Team .500 or Better6-7, 46% 134Miami Marlins
Record as Road Favorite0-1, 0% -100Record as Home Underdog4-5, 44% 24Miami Marlins
When Chad Patrick Starts0-5, 0% -500When Cal Quantrill Starts3-2, 60% 281Miami Marlins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-21, 48% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME18-25, 42% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-8, 11% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON56-23, 71% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Chad Patrick STARTS3-10, 23% OverOVER-UNDER IN Cal Quantrill STARTS7-10, 41% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 21-21, 50% -408 Miami Marlins Home Games: 23-20, 53% +182 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 1-6, 14% -406 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-5, 44% -62

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 23-19, 55% -214 Miami Marlins Home Games: 23-20, 53% -440 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 1-6, 14% -533 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-5, 44% -242

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 19-14, 58% + 360 Miami Marlins Home Games: 21-18, 54% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-1, 88% + 590

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