July 05, 2025 9:37 AM EST

Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/5/2025

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 28-16 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 22-23 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Max Scherzer is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz. Max Scherzer has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jack Kochanowicz has a 34% chance of a QS. If Max Scherzer has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 62%. In Jack Kochanowicz quality starts the Angels win 64%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 53% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-23, 49% 919Record at Home28-16, 64% 793Los Angeles Angels
VS Toronto Blue Jays2-1, 67% 98VS Los Angeles Angels1-2, 33% -123Los Angeles Angels
vs Team .500 or Better20-20, 50% 948vs Team .500 or Better20-22, 48% -170Los Angeles Angels
Record As Road Underdog20-21, 49% 985Record As Home Favorite15-10, 60% -8Los Angeles Angels
When Jack Kochanowicz Starts8-9, 47% 221When Max Scherzer Starts1-2, 33% -77Los Angeles Angels

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-5, 44% 228Record at Home7-3, 70% 376Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesVS Los Angeles Angels0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better9-6, 60% 274vs Team .500 or Better5-5, 50% -48Los Angeles Angels
Record As Road Underdog4-5, 44% 228Record As Home Favorite3-3, 50% -80Los Angeles Angels
When Jack Kochanowicz Starts3-2, 60% 213When Max Scherzer Starts1-1, 50% 23Los Angeles Angels

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-20, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-16, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-34, 56% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jack Kochanowicz STARTS8-9, 47% OverOVER-UNDER IN Max Scherzer STARTS3-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 16-29, 36% -1203 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 25-19, 57% +491 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 2-7, 22% -410 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-4, 60% +384

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 19-26, 42% -1409 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 24-20, 55% -142 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 4-5, 44% -269 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-6, 40% -257

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 25-16, 61% + 740 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 21-18, 54% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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