The Los Angeles Dodgers are 32-14 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 20-20 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Roki Sasaki has a 41% chance of a QS and Framber Valdez a 39% chance. If Roki Sasaki has a quality start the Dodgers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 68%. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Shohei Ohtani (b) who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
Houston Astros | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 20-20, 50% -348 | Record at Home | 32-14, 70% 178 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 25-19, 57% 199 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-19, 56% -266 | Houston Astros |
Record As Road Underdog | 6-10, 38% -280 | Record As Home Favorite | 31-14, 69% 76 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
When Framber Valdez Starts | 11-5, 69% 307 | When Roki Sasaki Starts | 3-3, 50% -68 | Houston Astros |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
Houston Astros | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 9-4, 69% 189 | Record at Home | 10-3, 77% 192 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 10-4, 71% 361 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-0 No Games | Houston Astros |
Record As Road Underdog | 0-2, 0% -200 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-3, 77% 192 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
When Framber Valdez Starts | 4-0, 100% 261 | When Roki Sasaki Starts | 0-0 No Games | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Houston Astros | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-20, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 28-15, 65% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-33, 61% Over | OVER |
OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS | 6-10, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Roki Sasaki STARTS | 4-2, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 18-22, 45% -504 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 23-23, 50% -601 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-10, 23% -680 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 9-4, 69% +235
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 23-17, 58% +162 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 31-15, 67% +13 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 9-4, 69% +276 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-3, 77% +192
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 15-15, 50% -150 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-15, 58% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240
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