July 05, 2025 9:37 AM EST

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/5/2025

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 32-14 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 20-20 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Roki Sasaki has a 41% chance of a QS and Framber Valdez a 39% chance. If Roki Sasaki has a quality start the Dodgers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 68%. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Shohei Ohtani (b) who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 54% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-20, 50% -348Record at Home32-14, 70% 178Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesVS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better25-19, 57% 199vs Team .500 or Better24-19, 56% -266Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog6-10, 38% -280Record As Home Favorite31-14, 69% 76Los Angeles Dodgers
When Framber Valdez Starts11-5, 69% 307When Roki Sasaki Starts3-3, 50% -68Houston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-4, 69% 189Record at Home10-3, 77% 192Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesVS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better10-4, 71% 361vs Team .500 or Better0-0 No GamesHouston Astros
Record As Road Underdog0-2, 0% -200Record As Home Favorite10-3, 77% 192Los Angeles Dodgers
When Framber Valdez Starts4-0, 100% 261When Roki Sasaki Starts0-0 No GamesHouston Astros

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-20, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-15, 65% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON29-48, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON51-33, 61% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS6-10, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN Roki Sasaki STARTS4-2, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 18-22, 45% -504 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 23-23, 50% -601 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-10, 23% -680 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 9-4, 69% +235

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 23-17, 58% +162 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 31-15, 67% +13 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 9-4, 69% +276 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-3, 77% +192

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 15-15, 50% -150 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-15, 58% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240

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