The Detroit Tigers are 23-19 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 20-20 at home. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Casey Mize is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Logan Allen. Casey Mize has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Logan Allen has a 41% chance of a QS. If Casey Mize has a quality start the Tigers has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 60%. In Logan Allen quality starts the Guardians win 66%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 71% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-19, 55% -14 | Record at Home | 20-20, 50% -398 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-3, 25% -267 | VS Detroit Tigers | 3-1, 75% 252 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team Under .500 | 34-16, 68% 717 | vs Team .500 or Better | 17-31, 35% -1258 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 13-9, 59% -105 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-11, 39% -354 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Casey Mize Starts | 10-5, 67% 382 | When Logan Allen Starts | 7-9, 44% -241 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-5, 44% -187 | Record at Home | 3-9, 25% -659 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-3, 50% -137 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-12, 29% -800 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-3, 40% -182 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-5, 17% -409 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Casey Mize Starts | 3-2, 60% 7 | When Logan Allen Starts | 3-3, 50% -33 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 27-15, 64% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-21, 45% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-3, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Casey Mize STARTS | 8-7, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Logan Allen STARTS | 6-9, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 25-17, 60% +266 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 21-19, 52% +30 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 5-4, 56% +139 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 5-7, 42% -180
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 24-18, 57% -143 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 25-15, 62% +423 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 5-4, 56% 0 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-6, 50% -85
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 22-15, 59% + 550 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 18-14, 56% + 260 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 3-4, 43% -140 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
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