July 05, 2025 9:37 AM EST

Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves 7/5/2025

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The Atlanta Braves are 24-18 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 18-27 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Grant Holmes is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Dean Kremer. Grant Holmes has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dean Kremer has a 34% chance of a QS. If Grant Holmes has a quality start the Braves has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 66%. In Dean Kremer quality starts the Orioles win 66%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 3.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 60% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ryan O\'Hearn who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Baltimore OriolesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road18-27, 40% -827Record at Home24-18, 57% -291Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesVS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50019-27, 41% -1262vs Team Under .50017-14, 55% -417Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog14-21, 40% -538Record As Home Favorite22-15, 59% -216Atlanta Braves
When Dean Kremer Starts7-9, 44% -295When Grant Holmes Starts6-10, 38% -506Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore OriolesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-8, 43% -90Record at Home7-5, 58% -98Baltimore Orioles
VS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesVS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5001-2, 33% -8vs Team .500 or Better5-7, 42% -366Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog4-6, 40% -63Record As Home Favorite7-4, 64% 2Atlanta Braves
When Dean Kremer Starts2-3, 40% -106When Grant Holmes Starts1-4, 20% -336Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore OriolesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-29, 34% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-25, 39% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-10, 29% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-35, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON26-55, 32% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Dean Kremer STARTS5-10, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Grant Holmes STARTS6-10, 38% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 23-22, 51% -178 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 22-20, 52% -405 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-9, 36% -432 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-5, 58% -43

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 25-20, 56% -72 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 24-18, 57% -349 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-8, 43% -413 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-5, 58% -124

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 32-11, 74% + 1990 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 13-25, 34% -1450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 10-4, 71% + 560 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50

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