The Los Angeles Dodgers are 32-14 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 20-20 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Spencer Arrighetti. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Spencer Arrighetti has a 24% chance of a QS. If Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a quality start the Dodgers has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 71%. In Spencer Arrighetti quality starts the Astros win 63%. He has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Shohei Ohtani (b) who averaged 2.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 43% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-20, 50% -348 | Record at Home | 32-14, 70% 178 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 25-19, 57% 199 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-19, 56% -266 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-10, 38% -280 | Record As Home Favorite | 31-14, 69% 76 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Spencer Arrighetti Starts | 2-1, 67% 17 | When Yoshinobu Yamamoto Starts | 10-8, 56% -319 | Houston Astros |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-5, 64% 89 | Record at Home | 10-4, 71% 92 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-3, 73% 325 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-1, 67% 7 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-2, 0% -200 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-4, 71% 92 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Spencer Arrighetti Starts | 1-0, 100% 37 | When Yoshinobu Yamamoto Starts | 2-4, 33% -342 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-20, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 28-15, 65% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-33, 61% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Arrighetti STARTS | 0-3, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Yoshinobu Yamamoto STARTS | 6-12, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 18-22, 45% -504 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 23-23, 50% -601 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-10, 29% -575 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 9-5, 64% +135
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 23-17, 58% +162 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 31-15, 67% +13 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 10-4, 71% +381 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-4, 71% +92
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 15-15, 50% -150 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-15, 58% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240
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