The Washington Nationals are 17-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 18-25 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals starter Mike Soroka is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Richard Fitts. Mike Soroka has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Richard Fitts has a 45% chance of a QS. If Mike Soroka has a quality start the Nationals has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 60%. In Richard Fitts quality starts the Red Sox win 63%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Abraham Toro who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-25, 42% -635 | Record at Home | 17-25, 40% -398 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 20-22, 48% -611 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-29, 40% -183 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-11, 35% -653 | Record as Home Underdog | 16-17, 48% 341 | Washington Nationals |
| When Richard Fitts Starts | 3-5, 38% -246 | When Mike Soroka Starts | 3-8, 27% -389 | Boston Red Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-7, 42% -81 | Record at Home | 4-10, 29% -622 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-2, 78% 671 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-10, 38% -217 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-2, 33% -117 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-4, 43% -83 | Washington Nationals |
| When Richard Fitts Starts | 1-1, 50% -15 | When Mike Soroka Starts | 1-4, 20% -298 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-21, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-20, 50% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Richard Fitts STARTS | 2-6, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mike Soroka STARTS | 6-5, 55% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 22-21, 51% +29 Washington Nationals Home Games: 21-21, 50% +205 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-5, 58% +503 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-8, 43% -147
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 23-20, 53% -176 Washington Nationals Home Games: 18-24, 43% -1076 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-5, 58% +7 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-9, 36% -577
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 17-22, 44% -720 Washington Nationals Home Games: 19-12, 61% + 580 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480
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