The Atlanta Braves are 24-18 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 18-27 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Spencer Strider is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Charlie Morton. Spencer Strider has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 29% chance of a QS. If Spencer Strider has a quality start the Braves has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 70%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Orioles win 57%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 3.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ryan O\'Hearn who averaged 2.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 46% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-27, 40% -827 | Record at Home | 24-18, 57% -291 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 19-27, 41% -1262 | vs Team Under .500 | 17-14, 55% -417 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-21, 40% -538 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-15, 59% -216 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Charlie Morton Starts | 5-8, 38% -399 | When Spencer Strider Starts | 3-6, 33% -431 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-8, 47% 1 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% -198 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-4, 50% 96 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-11, 31% -766 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% 28 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-5, 58% -98 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Charlie Morton Starts | 3-1, 75% 149 | When Spencer Strider Starts | 3-2, 60% -31 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-29, 34% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-25, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-11, 27% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 5-7, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Strider STARTS | 2-6, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 23-22, 51% -178 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 22-20, 52% -405 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-10, 33% -532 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-6, 54% -143
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 25-20, 56% -72 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 24-18, 57% -349 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-9, 40% -513 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-6, 54% -224
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 32-11, 74% + 1990 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 13-25, 34% -1450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 10-5, 67% + 450 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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