July 31, 2025 5:07 AM EST

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners 7/31/2025

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The Seattle Mariners are 28-23 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 22-30 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter George Kirby is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Kumar Rocker. George Kirby has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kumar Rocker has a 31% chance of a QS. If George Kirby has a quality start the Mariners has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 51% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 69%. In Kumar Rocker quality starts the Rangers win 61%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 1.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 49% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Texas RangersRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-30, 42% -935Record at Home28-23, 55% -277Seattle Mariners
VS Seattle Mariners2-7, 22% -526VS Texas Rangers7-2, 78% 385Seattle Mariners
vs Team .500 or Better26-33, 44% -994vs Team .500 or Better33-27, 55% 479Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog14-20, 41% -499Record As Home Favorite24-20, 55% -411Seattle Mariners
When Kumar Rocker Starts7-6, 54% -3When George Kirby Starts6-5, 55% 2Seattle Mariners

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Texas RangersRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% 12Record at Home7-4, 64% 54Seattle Mariners
VS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesVS Texas Rangers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-3, 50% 34vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% -140Texas Rangers
Record As Road Underdog4-3, 57% 128Record As Home Favorite7-4, 64% 54Texas Rangers
When Kumar Rocker Starts1-2, 33% -112When George Kirby Starts2-1, 67% 91Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-29, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-24, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-8, 27% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-35, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-44, 42% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Kumar Rocker STARTS5-8, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN George Kirby STARTS5-5, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 30-22, 58% +89 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 24-27, 47% -656 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 8-2, 80% +439 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-4, 64% +54

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 30-22, 58% +112 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 27-24, 53% -441 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-5, 50% -67 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-4, 64% +54

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 24-22, 52% -20 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 29-15, 66% + 1250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280

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