The New York Yankees are 30-19 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 22-22 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Marcus Stroman has a 43% chance of a QS and Ryan Pepiot a 42% chance. If Marcus Stroman has a quality start the Yankees has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 62%. If Ryan Pepiot has a quality start the Rays has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 39%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-22, 50% 295 | Record at Home | 30-19, 61% -106 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS New York Yankees | 3-4, 43% -16 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 4-3, 57% -18 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 28-26, 52% 268 | vs Team .500 or Better | 32-32, 50% -1006 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 19-14, 58% 869 | Record As Home Favorite | 29-19, 60% -199 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 8-14, 36% -792 | When Marcus Stroman Starts | 6-2, 75% 260 | New York Yankees |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-8, 20% -569 | Record at Home | 4-2, 67% 77 | New York Yankees |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-5, 50% -132 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -366 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-5, 29% -269 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-2, 67% 77 | New York Yankees |
| When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 1-3, 25% -255 | When Marcus Stroman Starts | 2-1, 67% 98 | New York Yankees |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-25, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 21-28, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-2, 67% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS | 8-14, 36% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Marcus Stroman STARTS | 6-2, 75% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 28-16, 64% +1073 New York Yankees Home Games: 26-23, 53% -152 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-4, 60% +219 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-1, 83% +369
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 22-22, 50% -421 New York Yankees Home Games: 30-19, 61% -47 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-5, 50% -76 New York Yankees Home Games: 4-2, 67% +77
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 19-17, 53% + 30 New York Yankees Home Games: 19-18, 51% -80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 New York Yankees Home Games: 0-3, 0% -330
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