July 30, 2025 9:54 AM EST

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/30/2025

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The Baltimore Orioles are 22-25 at home this season and the Toronto Blue Jays are 23-25 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Dean Kremer has a 46% chance of a QS and Jose Berrios a 50% chance. If Dean Kremer has a quality start the Orioles has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 50%. If Jose Berrios has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-25, 48% -175Record at Home22-25, 47% -675Toronto Blue Jays
VS Baltimore Orioles3-3, 50% -39VS Toronto Blue Jays3-3, 50% -24Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .50024-13, 65% 473vs Team .500 or Better27-34, 44% -614Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog15-15, 50% 237Record As Home Favorite13-19, 41% -1020Toronto Blue Jays
When Jose Berrios Starts13-7, 65% 429When Dean Kremer Starts9-10, 47% -207Toronto Blue Jays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% -133Record at Home3-3, 50% 19Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50014-4, 78% 749vs Team .500 or Better4-7, 36% -291Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite1-2, 33% -124Toronto Blue Jays
When Jose Berrios Starts3-0, 100% 245When Dean Kremer Starts2-1, 67% 88Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-25, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-21, 53% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-37, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jose Berrios STARTS12-8, 60% OverOVER-UNDER IN Dean Kremer STARTS6-12, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 24-24, 50% -432 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 30-17, 64% +1319 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 2-4, 33% -141 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-1, 83% +399

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 25-23, 52% -195 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 27-20, 57% +282 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 3-3, 50% -71 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 3-3, 50% -44

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 20-23, 47% -530 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 20-21, 49% -310 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 180 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 190

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