July 30, 2025 9:54 AM EST

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox 7/30/2025

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The Chicago White Sox are 20-30 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 25-25 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. White Sox starter Adrian Houser is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies starter Taijuan Walker. Adrian Houser has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Taijuan Walker has a 47% chance of a QS. If Adrian Houser has a quality start the White Sox has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the White Sox win 51%. In Taijuan Walker quality starts the Phillies win 71%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Mike Tauchman who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago White Sox

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-25, 50% -729Record at Home20-30, 40% -174Chicago White Sox
VS Chicago White Sox0-0 No GamesVS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50029-15, 66% 298vs Team .500 or Better22-43, 34% -780Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite21-16, 57% -303Record as Home Underdog20-29, 41% -74Chicago White Sox
When Taijuan Walker Starts6-7, 46% -303When Adrian Houser Starts6-3, 67% 457Chicago White Sox

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-4, 33% -248Record at Home2-5, 29% -259Philadelphia Phillies
VS Chicago White Sox0-0 No GamesVS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-5, 44% -249vs Team .500 or Better2-5, 29% -259Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite2-3, 40% -148Record as Home Underdog2-5, 29% -259Philadelphia Phillies
When Taijuan Walker Starts2-2, 50% -48When Adrian Houser Starts3-0, 100% 324Chicago White Sox

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-31, 37% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-22, 55% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-48, 40% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Taijuan Walker STARTS4-9, 31% OverOVER-UNDER IN Adrian Houser STARTS1-8, 11% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 25-25, 50% -698 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 21-29, 42% -519 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 2-4, 33% -149 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 2-5, 29% -259

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 28-22, 56% -348 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 24-26, 48% -1021 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 2-4, 33% -217 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 3-4, 43% -189

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 23-18, 56% + 320 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 20-19, 51% -90 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 2-2, 50% -20 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70

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