The Detroit Tigers are 32-18 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 24-24 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Chris Paddack. Ryne Nelson has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chris Paddack has a 38% chance of a QS. If Ryne Nelson has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 58%. In Chris Paddack quality starts the Tigers win 67%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 24-24, 50% -92 | Record at Home | 32-18, 64% 470 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 30-32, 48% -384 | vs Team Under .500 | 29-14, 67% 616 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-11, 56% 527 | Record As Home Favorite | 26-15, 63% 78 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Ryne Nelson Starts | 7-4, 64% 207 | When Chris Paddack Starts | 6-14, 30% -788 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-4, 43% -75 | Record at Home | 2-4, 33% -214 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-4, 60% 132 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-5, 44% -245 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-1, 67% 136 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-3, 25% -223 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Ryne Nelson Starts | 3-1, 75% 196 | When Chris Paddack Starts | 1-2, 33% -117 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-21, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-28, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-3, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ryne Nelson STARTS | 4-7, 36% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Chris Paddack STARTS | 8-11, 42% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 26-22, 54% -271 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 26-24, 52% +124 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-3, 57% +35 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 3-3, 50% +117
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 26-22, 54% -63 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 31-19, 62% +211 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-4, 43% -99 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 2-4, 33% -214
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 18-21, 46% -510 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 20-20, 50% -200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 0-1, 0% -110
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