July 03, 2025 9:45 AM EST

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/3/2025

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are 22-22 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 21-24 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Brandon Pfaadt has a 43% chance of a QS and Robbie Ray a 43% chance. If Brandon Pfaadt has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 60%. If Robbie Ray has a quality start the Giants has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 44%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

San Francisco GiantsRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road21-24, 47% -413Record at Home22-22, 50% -539San Francisco Giants
VS Arizona Diamondbacks2-4, 33% -183VS San Francisco Giants4-2, 67% 185Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better23-21, 52% 139vs Team .500 or Better25-27, 48% -362San Francisco Giants
Record as Road Favorite10-11, 48% -423Record as Home Underdog6-2, 75% 447Arizona Diamondbacks
When Robbie Ray Starts13-4, 76% 662When Brandon Pfaadt Starts9-8, 53% 39San Francisco Giants

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

San Francisco GiantsRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-7, 42% -276Record at Home7-5, 58% 85Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-2, 33% -78VS San Francisco Giants2-1, 67% 101Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better4-8, 33% -379vs Team .500 or Better1-7, 12% -583San Francisco Giants
Record as Road Favorite3-4, 43% -254Record as Home Underdog3-0, 100% 322Arizona Diamondbacks
When Robbie Ray Starts3-2, 60% -14When Brandon Pfaadt Starts2-3, 40% -75San Francisco Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Francisco GiantsRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-20, 55% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-19, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-3, 75% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON50-29, 63% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Robbie Ray STARTS6-11, 35% OverOVER-UNDER IN Brandon Pfaadt STARTS8-7, 53% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 18-27, 40% -996 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 20-24, 45% -796 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 6-6, 50% -26 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 6-6, 50% -73

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 21-24, 47% -803 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 21-23, 48% -729 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 7-5, 58% +22 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 7-5, 58% +85

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 19-18, 51% -80 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 18-18, 50% -180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260

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