The Toronto Blue Jays are 28-16 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 22-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Chris Bassitt has a 52% chance of a QS and Clarke Schmidt a 51% chance. If Chris Bassitt has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 48%. If Clarke Schmidt has a quality start the Yankees has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.69 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-21, 51% -621 | Record at Home | 28-16, 64% 793 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 2-4, 33% -287 | VS New York Yankees | 4-2, 67% 281 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 20-20, 50% -556 | vs Team .500 or Better | 20-22, 48% -170 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 20-16, 56% -359 | Record as Home Underdog | 13-6, 68% 801 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Clarke Schmidt Starts | 7-6, 54% -110 | When Chris Bassitt Starts | 10-6, 62% 227 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -557 | Record at Home | 8-4, 67% 374 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-3, 0% -300 | VS New York Yankees | 3-0, 100% 361 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-14, 26% -1163 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-6, 50% -50 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-7, 36% -457 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-1, 83% 454 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Clarke Schmidt Starts | 2-2, 50% -61 | When Chris Bassitt Starts | 3-2, 60% 57 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-22, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-16, 61% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-40, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Clarke Schmidt STARTS | 4-9, 31% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Chris Bassitt STARTS | 6-9, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 18-25, 42% -709 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 25-19, 57% +491 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-6, 50% +158 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-6, 50% +184
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 23-20, 53% -377 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 24-20, 55% -142 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-9, 25% -701 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-7, 42% -289
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 19-19, 50% -190 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 21-18, 54% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 8-2, 80% + 580
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
