The New York Mets are 30-13 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 21-21 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter David Peterson is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Jose Quintana. David Peterson has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Quintana has a 43% chance of a QS. If David Peterson has a quality start the Mets has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 71%. In Jose Quintana quality starts the Brewers win 58%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 1.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-21, 50% 30 | Record at Home | 30-13, 70% 601 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 1-1, 50% 1 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-1, 50% 8 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-23, 50% -29 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-19, 56% 227 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-16, 48% 140 | Record As Home Favorite | 27-9, 75% 677 | New York Mets |
| When Jose Quintana Starts | 6-3, 67% 324 | When David Peterson Starts | 9-7, 56% -120 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-3, 67% 368 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% -205 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS New York Mets | 1-1, 50% 1 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-1, 50% 8 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-7, 61% 273 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-11, 21% -774 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-2, 75% 468 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-4, 56% -113 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Jose Quintana Starts | 1-1, 50% -13 | When David Peterson Starts | 1-4, 20% -363 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-21, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-22, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-3, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS | 2-6, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN David Peterson STARTS | 7-8, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 21-21, 50% -408 New York Mets Home Games: 19-24, 44% -1131 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-7, 22% -426 New York Mets Home Games: 4-8, 33% -514
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 23-19, 55% -214 New York Mets Home Games: 23-20, 53% -687 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-7, 22% -553 New York Mets Home Games: 7-5, 58% -72
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 19-14, 58% + 360 New York Mets Home Games: 16-17, 48% -270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 3-4, 43% -140 New York Mets Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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