The Atlanta Braves are 24-18 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 22-23 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Bryce Elder is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Jose Soriano. Bryce Elder has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Soriano has a 35% chance of a QS. If Bryce Elder has a quality start the Braves has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 67%. In Jose Soriano quality starts the Angels win 59%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 3.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 59% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-23, 49% 919 | Record at Home | 24-18, 57% -291 | Los Angeles Angels |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-1, 50% 62 | VS Los Angeles Angels | 1-1, 50% -21 | Los Angeles Angels |
| vs Team Under .500 | 22-23, 49% -12 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-32, 41% -1528 | Los Angeles Angels |
| Record As Road Underdog | 20-21, 49% 985 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-15, 59% -216 | Los Angeles Angels |
| When Jose Soriano Starts | 7-9, 44% -166 | When Bryce Elder Starts | 5-9, 36% -566 | Los Angeles Angels |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-6, 45% 248 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% -298 | Los Angeles Angels |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-1, 50% 62 | VS Los Angeles Angels | 1-1, 50% -21 | Los Angeles Angels |
| vs Team Under .500 | 10-5, 67% 756 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-9, 36% -566 | Los Angeles Angels |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% 248 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-6, 54% -198 | Los Angeles Angels |
| When Jose Soriano Starts | 3-1, 75% 220 | When Bryce Elder Starts | 1-4, 20% -370 | Los Angeles Angels |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-20, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-25, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jose Soriano STARTS | 8-8, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Elder STARTS | 5-8, 38% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 16-29, 36% -1203 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 22-20, 52% -405 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 3-8, 27% -390 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-7, 50% -243
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 19-26, 42% -1409 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 24-18, 57% -349 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 5-6, 45% -295 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-7, 50% -324
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 25-16, 61% + 740 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 13-25, 34% -1450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
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