The Seattle Mariners are 22-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 20-22 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Bryan Woo is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Seth Lugo. Bryan Woo has a 66% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Seth Lugo has a 53% chance of a QS. If Bryan Woo has a quality start the Mariners has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.5 and he has a 56% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 65%. In Seth Lugo quality starts the Royals win 57%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Maikel Garcia who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-22, 48% 87 | Record at Home | 22-20, 52% -378 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Seattle Mariners | 1-2, 33% -82 | VS Kansas City Royals | 2-1, 67% 14 | Seattle Mariners |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 18-30, 38% -757 | vs Team Under .500 | 31-21, 60% 268 | Seattle Mariners |
| Record As Road Underdog | 17-15, 53% 567 | Record As Home Favorite | 18-17, 51% -512 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 7-8, 47% -104 | When Bryan Woo Starts | 9-8, 53% 3 | Seattle Mariners |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-6, 57% 242 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% -184 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Seattle Mariners | 1-2, 33% -82 | VS Kansas City Royals | 2-1, 67% 14 | Seattle Mariners |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-12, 29% -651 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-3, 70% 233 | Seattle Mariners |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-3, 67% 399 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-5, 55% -84 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 2-3, 40% -50 | When Bryan Woo Starts | 2-4, 33% -266 | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-24, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-17, 56% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-6, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-49, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-44, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Seth Lugo STARTS | 5-10, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Bryan Woo STARTS | 8-9, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-20, 52% +822 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 18-24, 43% -757 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-8, 43% +113 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-6, 50% -83
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 21-21, 50% -442 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 21-21, 50% -542 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-8, 43% -341 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-5, 58% -1
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-14, 61% + 660 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 24-14, 63% + 860 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260
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