July 03, 2025 9:45 AM EST

Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies 7/3/2025

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The Houston Astros are 20-20 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 8-33 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Kyle Freeland has a 34% chance of a QS and Brandon Walter a 39% chance. If Kyle Freeland has a quality start the Rockies has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 53%. If Brandon Walter has a quality start the Astros has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.8 and he has a 58% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Thairo Estrada who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 68% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-20, 50% -348Record at Home8-33, 20% -1956Houston Astros
VS Colorado Rockies2-0, 100% 101VS Houston Astros0-2, 0% -200Houston Astros
vs Team Under .50027-15, 64% 512vs Team .500 or Better9-51, 15% -3315Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite14-10, 58% -68Record as Home Underdog7-32, 18% -1945Houston Astros
When Brandon Walter Starts2-2, 50% -43When Kyle Freeland Starts2-11, 15% -835Houston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-5, 67% 225Record at Home2-12, 14% -855Houston Astros
VS Colorado Rockies2-0, 100% 101VS Houston Astros0-2, 0% -200Houston Astros
vs Team Under .50011-4, 73% 324vs Team .500 or Better4-9, 31% -323Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite9-3, 75% 289Record as Home Underdog2-12, 14% -855Houston Astros
When Brandon Walter Starts2-1, 67% 57When Kyle Freeland Starts1-0, 100% 60Colorado Rockies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-20, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-21, 48% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON29-48, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Walter STARTS2-2, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kyle Freeland STARTS4-9, 31% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 18-22, 45% -504 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 22-19, 54% -522 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-11, 27% -675 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 3-11, 21% -985

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 23-17, 58% +162 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 31-10, 76% +563 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 10-5, 67% +281 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 11-3, 79% +132

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 15-15, 50% -150 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 21-19, 52% + 10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 8-5, 62% + 250

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