July 03, 2025 9:45 AM EST

Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals 7/3/2025

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The Washington Nationals are 17-25 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 23-19 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals starter Jake Irvin is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Dietrich Enns ®. Jake Irvin has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dietrich Enns ® has a 37% chance of a QS. If Jake Irvin has a quality start the Nationals has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 52%. In Dietrich Enns ® quality starts the Tigers win 72%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-19, 55% -14Record at Home17-25, 40% -398Detroit Tigers
VS Washington Nationals1-1, 50% -36VS Detroit Tigers1-1, 50% -5Washington Nationals
vs Team Under .50034-16, 68% 717vs Team .500 or Better19-29, 40% -183Detroit Tigers
Record as Road Favorite13-9, 59% -105Record as Home Underdog16-17, 48% 341Washington Nationals
When Dietrich Enns ® Starts19-9, 68% 871When Jake Irvin Starts10-8, 56% 553Detroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Detroit TigersRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% -238Record at Home4-11, 27% -722Detroit Tigers
VS Washington Nationals1-1, 50% -36VS Detroit Tigers1-1, 50% -5Washington Nationals
vs Team Under .5006-5, 55% -191vs Team .500 or Better6-11, 35% -317Detroit Tigers
Record as Road Favorite3-4, 43% -233Record as Home Underdog3-5, 38% -183Washington Nationals
When Dietrich Enns ® Starts1-2, 33% -67When Jake Irvin Starts3-3, 50% 148Washington Nationals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD27-15, 64% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-20, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-3, 73% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-9, 40% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Dietrich Enns ® STARTS17-10, 63% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jake Irvin STARTS11-6, 65% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 25-17, 60% +266 Washington Nationals Home Games: 21-21, 50% +205 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-4, 64% +269 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-8, 47% -82

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 24-18, 57% -143 Washington Nationals Home Games: 18-24, 43% -1076 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-5, 55% -51 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-9, 40% -512

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 22-15, 59% + 550 Washington Nationals Home Games: 19-12, 61% + 580 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Washington Nationals Home Games: 8-2, 80% + 580

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