July 29, 2025 9:41 AM EST

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants 7/29/2025

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The San Francisco Giants are 28-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 13-37 on the road this season. The Giants have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants starter Justin Verlander is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Bailey Falter. Justin Verlander has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bailey Falter has a 43% chance of a QS. If Justin Verlander has a quality start the Giants has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 70%. In Bailey Falter quality starts the Pirates win 58%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Nick Gonzales who averaged 1.73 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 25% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 54% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road13-37, 26% -1709Record at Home28-20, 58% 11San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better28-45, 38% -1081vs Team .500 or Better29-27, 52% -59San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog11-31, 26% -1257Record As Home Favorite23-17, 58% -207San Francisco Giants
When Bailey Falter Starts10-10, 50% 296When Justin Verlander Starts5-12, 29% -754Pittsburgh Pirates

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-8, 11% -684Record at Home3-3, 50% -41San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-3, 62% 145vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -217Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog1-8, 11% -684Record As Home Favorite2-0, 100% 141San Francisco Giants
When Bailey Falter Starts0-3, 0% -300When Justin Verlander Starts1-3, 25% -182San Francisco Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-31, 35% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-29, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-7, 22% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-43, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Bailey Falter STARTS9-9, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Justin Verlander STARTS6-10, 38% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 31-19, 62% +978 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 25-23, 52% +23 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 4-5, 44% -223 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 2-4, 33% -213

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 35-15, 70% +721 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 25-23, 52% -537 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 8-1, 89% +435 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 4-2, 67% +117

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 23-19, 55% + 210 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 19-19, 50% -190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 380 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 0-3, 0% -330

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